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Vision 2050 - Roadmap for a Sustainable Earth

of: Hiroshi Komiyama, Steven Kraines

Springer-Verlag, 2008

ISBN: 9784431094319 , 166 Pages

Format: PDF, Read online

Copy protection: DRM

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Vision 2050 - Roadmap for a Sustainable Earth


 

Preface

5

Contents

10

Is the Earth Sustainable?

12

1 Changes from Which the Earth Recovers, and Changes from Which the Earth Does Not The Continuous Renewal of the Circulating Earth

12

Changes from Which the Earth Does Not Recover

13

How Long Does It Take for Ice to Melt?

14

2 Mechanisms for Recovery Circulating Ecosystems Powered by the Sun

15

The Wind and Rain Also Are Caused by the Sun

16

The Amount of Elements in the Biosphere Is Constant

16

3 A Massive Intervention by Humanity into the Biosphere A Century of Expanding Human Activities

17

The Use of Fossil Fuel Resources

20

Diminishment of Nature and Accumulation of Human Artifacts

22

The Influence of Toxic Materials

22

4 The Flow of Materials Resulting from Making Things”

24

Accumulating Metals

25

The One-Way Flow of Cement and Glass

27

Petroleum Products Are Also a One-Way Flow

28

Biomass Materials Are Recirculated

29

Sustainable Lifecycles and Non-sustainable Lifecycles

31

5 What Happens if We Continue with Business as Usual”? Oil Reserves Will Become Depleted

32

Global Warming Will Alter the Earth’s Climate

33

The Earth Will Become Buried in Human Waste

35

Knowing Energy

37

1 Energy Is Conserved Energy Is the Ability to Do Work

37

Kinds of Energy

38

Energy Media and the Law of Energy Conservation

39

How a Thermal Power Plant Works

41

How Electric Cells Work

43

Energy Resources

44

Expressions for Energy

45

2 What Is Energy Used for? World Energy Consumption Is One Ton per Person per Year

47

Energy Use in Daily Life

47

The Production of Basic Materials Is the Core of Manufacturing

49

Energy Loss in the Energy Conversion Sector

50

3 Energy Degrades What Is the Value of Energy?

52

4 Improving Ef.ciency Burning Oil Fields Versus Heating Houses

55

The Limit of Energy Ef.ciency

58

1 The Elementary Steps of Human Activities

58

2 The Energy of Elementary Steps The Energy of Transportation Is Zero

59

Energy Is Needed for Separation

61

The Energy of Shaping and Forming Is Zero

62

Heating and Cooling Using an Ideal Air Conditioner

63

Do Compression and Expansion Slowly

64

Measuring Chemical Reactions Through an Ideal Electric Cell

64

The Theoretical Ef.ciencies of Energy Devices Are All the Same

66

Comparing the Energy Consumption of the Elementary Steps

66

3 The Energy of Human Activities

68

Energy Conservation in Daily Life

69

1 The Automobile

69

How Conventional Automobiles Work

70

High-Ef.ciency Engines and Hybrid Cars

71

Fuel-Cell-Powered Electric Cars

74

Lowering Vehicle Weight

75

The Future Form of Automobiles

76

2 Homes and Offices

78

How an Air Conditioner Works

78

Energy Conservation by Improving Air Conditioner Ef.ciency

80

Energy Conservation Through Load Reduction

82

It Is Wasteful to Use Gas to Boil Water

83

How Effective Is Cogeneration?

83

Reduce Energy Consumed for Heating and Cooling to One Tenth

85

Lighting

85

3 Power Plants

85

The High-Temperature Limit

86

Combined Cycle Electric Power Generation

87

Making Things and Recycling Things

89

1 The Theory of Recycling Human Artifacts Will Eventually Become Saturated in Society

89

2 Recycling That Is Also Energy Conservation

93

Reduction of Iron Ore: The Blast Furnace Method

94

Recycling of Iron: The Electric Arc Furnace Method

95

Electrolysis Versus Electric Melting of Aluminum

97

Recycling of Non-metal Mineral Materials

97

Recycling Is a Means for Energy Conservation

99

3 Is It Bad to Burn Waste Paper and Plastic? Even if We Burn Paper, It Can Still Be Recycled

100

Introduction of Renewable Energy

104

1 Could Intensi.cation of Nuclear Power Be the Answer?

104

Types of Nuclear Power

104

Concerns About Safety

105

2 Sunlight Sufficient Amount and Excellent Quality

106

The Maximum Power of a Solar Car Is Two Horsepowers

108

Biomass Is 5%

109

Methods for Solar Thermal Power Generation

110

Solar Cells Are 40%

112

Does Developing New Technologies Require Too Much Energy?

113

Comparing Solar Cells and Biomass

114

3 Hydropower and Wind Power Potentials Large and Small

115

4 Geothermal Energy and Tides

117

How to Make a Sustainable Earth

119

1 The Signi.cance of the Kyoto Protocol The Inevitability of Global Warming

119

A Gap Between the Developed World and the Developing World

120

Hope, but Do Not Expect Too Much . . .

122

2 Vision 2050: A New Road to a Sustainable Earth Three Preconditions

123

The Basic Concepts

124

A Crossroads

127

3 Making Vision 2050 a Reality

128

How Will Technology and Society Work Together?

141

1 Forming a Total Infrastructure for Circulating Materials in Society The Importance of Separation in Garbage Collection

141

A Minimum Amount of Waste Emissions

142

Product Design and Standardization

143

Choosing the Optimal Scale

144

A Network System for Biomass Collection

146

2 Making the Market Work for Sustainability Can We Leave Things to the Invisible Hand of the Free Market?

147

3 Projects for Vision 2050

150

Design of Giant, Complex Systems

151

A Large-Scale, High-Ef.ciency Manufacturing System for Solar Cells

152

Utilizing the Polar Regions and Outer Space

153

Designing the Komiyama House

154

4 Rebuilding the Relationship Between Technology and Society The Problem of Dioxins

155

Postscript

162

About the Authors

165